Nesebar 4-3 Beroe
Second League · Matchweek 10Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections18:5320 September 2026: the Second League matchday 10 match ended Nesebar 4-3 Beroe.
Read more ›Close
Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Nesebar scored first, in the 20th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 20' K. Parashkevov → 1-0; 29' M. Simeonov → 2-0; 47' D. Dinev → 2-1; 53' D. Balinov → 3-1; 75' D. Dinev → 3-2; 81' I. Ferrer → 3-3; 89' S. Statev → 4-3.
I. Mitev (Beroe) was sent off in the 86th minute; yellow cards: Nesebar 3, Beroe 4.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 2-3 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: K. Parashkevov, M. Simeonov, D. Dinev, D. Balinov, I. Ferrer, S. Statev.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Nesebar 42%, draw 29%, Beroe 30%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
20 September 2026: the Second League matchday 10 match ended Nesebar 4-3 Beroe. Goals: K. Parashkevov 20', M. Simeonov 29', D. Dinev 47', D. Balinov 53', D. Dinev 75', I. Ferrer 81', S. Statev 89'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.