Nancy 1-0 Laval
Model accuracy
Locked 23 Oct 20:50The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: I. Housni 7.7 · Z. Fdaouch 7.6 · Y. Nahounou 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections14:09Nancy beat Laval 1-0 in the Ligue 2 matchday 10 on 23 October 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Nancy scored first, in the 68th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 68' Zakaria Fdaouch, assisted by Ilyes Housni → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Nancy 1, Laval 6.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Nancy 0.88, Laval 1.26; shots 12-6 (2-3 on target); possession 51%-49%; corners 4-5.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second. Shots: 7-2 before the break, 5-4 after it.
Standout players
I. Housni was Nancy's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, won 7 of 11 duels. Minute markers: key pass ≈6–7', shot on target ≈20–22', assist ≈70–71'.
W. Bianda was Laval's highest-rated player at 6.9 in 90 minutes: 2 tackles, won 5 of 7 duels. Minute markers: interception ≈59–60', tackle ≈78–80', tackle ≈83–84'.
How the model did
The locked pre-match statistical model estimate gives Nancy a 43% (80% interval 37%–50%) chance of winning; draw 27%, Laval 30%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Expected goals in the model: Nancy 1.44, Laval 1.12. Chance of 3+ goals: 49%; both teams to score: 52%.
The model's most likely outcome was Nancy win (43%); the actual result was Nancy win (43%). The outcome call was a hit. Its most likely score was 1-1 (worth 0 points under our prediction game rules).
Scoring rule: each match is graded on the last estimate locked before kick-off, which cannot be changed afterwards.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
23 October 2026: the Ligue 2 matchday 10 match ended Nancy 1-0 Laval. Goals: Zakaria Fdaouch 68'. Match stats: possession Nancy 51%, Laval 49%; shots on target 2-3; expected goals (xG) 0.88-1.26. The locked pre-match statistical model estimate gives Nancy a 43% (80% interval 37%–50%) chance of winning; draw 27%, Laval 30%. The outcome call was a hit.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.