NAC Breda vs Heracles

Match context

The venue is Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda, capacity 19,000.

Form

NAC Breda have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 (WWDWW), scoring 11 and conceding 5 — 2.2 / 1.0 per match. They took 6 points from 2 home matches in that run. They kept 2 clean sheets.

Heracles have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 (LWDWW), scoring 12 and conceding 4 — 2.4 / 0.8 per match. They took 4 points from 3 away matches in that run. They kept 2 clean sheets.

Head to head

In the last 5 meetings NAC Breda won 2, Heracles won 2 and 1 ended level. Goals: NAC Breda 4, Heracles 7.

The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Heracles 0-1 NAC Breda.

Key players and absentees

Recent form singles out C. Brym (6 goals in 5 matches, 7 shots on target, average rating 8.0) and M. Soumano (2 goals in 4 matches, 1 assist, 10 shots on target, average rating 7.1) for NAC Breda.

For Heracles, the standout performers in recent matches: C. Abbas (1 goal in 5 matches, 3 assists, 7 shots on target, average rating 7.6); Manny (3 goals in 5 matches, 7 shots on target, average rating 7.5).

Model estimate

The statistical model estimate points to an even match: NAC Breda 39%, draw 21%, Heracles 40%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Expected goals in the model: NAC Breda 1.80, Heracles 1.75. Chance of 3+ goals: 64%; both teams to score: 69%. The estimate was locked on 23 October 2026 at 08:11 UTC; the last locked estimate before kick-off is scored in our public track record.