Moss 1-3 Asane
Model accuracy
Locked 25 Oct 06:12The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections08:5625 October 2026: the 1. Division matchday 28 match ended Moss 1-3 Asane.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Moss scored first, in the 26th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 26' N. Semmen, assisted by J. Ogbole → 1-0; 45' S. Nygard → 1-1; 66' K. Barmen (penalty) → 1-2; 75' T. L. Furebotn, assisted by M. Fismen → 1-3.
N. Ibsen (Moss) was sent off in the 8th minute; yellow cards: Moss 1, Asane 0.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: N. Semmen, S. Nygard, K. Barmen, T. L. Furebotn.
How the model did
The locked pre-match statistical model estimate makes Moss favourites at 49% (80% interval 43%–57%); draw 22%, Asane 29%. Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Expected goals in the model: Moss 2.06, Asane 1.55. Chance of 3+ goals: 66%; both teams to score: 63%.
The model's most likely outcome was Moss win (49%); the actual result was Asane win (29%). The outcome call was a miss. Its most likely score was 2-1 (worth 0 points under our prediction game rules).
Scoring rule: each match is graded on the last estimate locked before kick-off, which cannot be changed afterwards.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Moss vs Asane (1. Division matchday 28, 25 October 2026) finished 1-3. Goals: N. Semmen 26', S. Nygard 45', K. Barmen 66' (pen), T. L. Furebotn 75'. The locked pre-match statistical model estimate makes Moss favourites at 49% (80% interval 43%–57%); draw 22%, Asane 29%. The outcome call was a miss.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.