Monza 1-0 Modena
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. Birindelli 7.9 · M. Pessina 7.7 · S. Nador 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections21:20Monza beat Modena 1-0 in the Serie B matchday 36 on 24 April 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Monza scored first, in the 27th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 27' S. Birindelli → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Monza 1, Modena 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Monza 0.43, Modena 0.94; shots 10-15 (4-5 on target); possession 41%-59%; corners 5-4; pass accuracy 79%-86%.
Modena created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
S. Birindelli was Monza's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 tackle, won 4 of 6 duels.
S. Nador was Modena's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 3 tackles, won 11 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Monza vs Modena (Serie B matchday 36, 24 April 2026) finished 1-0. Goals: S. Birindelli 27'. Match stats: possession Monza 41%, Modena 59%; shots on target 4-5; expected goals (xG) 0.43-0.94.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.