Monaco 2-2 Nice
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: K. Diatta 8.2 · S. Diop 8.2 · Ansu Fati 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections23:10Monaco drew with Nice 2-2 in the Ligue 1 matchday 7 on 5 October 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-2 at half-time. Monaco levelled after the break. Nice scored first, in the 29th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 29' S. Diop, assisted by M. Cho → 0-1; 42' S. Diop (penalty) → 0-2; 45' A. Fati (penalty) → 1-2; 56' A. Fati (penalty) → 2-2.
Ali Abdi (Nice) was sent off in the 34th minute; VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Monaco 1, Nice 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Monaco 2.98, Nice 1.15; shots 20-9 (6-2 on target); possession 66%-34%; corners 6-7; pass accuracy 85%-68%.
Monaco created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
K. Diatta was Monaco's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 5 key passes, 2 tackles, won 8 of 12 duels.
S. Diop was Nice's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 72 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, won 3 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Monaco drew with Nice 2-2 in the Ligue 1 matchday 7 on 5 October 2025. Goals: S. Diop 29', S. Diop 42' (pen), A. Fati 45' (pen), A. Fati 56' (pen). Match stats: possession Monaco 66%, Nice 34%; shots on target 6-2; expected goals (xG) 2.98-1.15.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.