Monaco vs Lille

Monaco and Lille meet in the Ligue 1 matchday 8 on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

Match context

The venue is Stade Louis-II, Monaco, capacity 18,523. The referee is Francois Letexier.

Form

Monaco have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 (WDWLW), scoring 9 and conceding 5 — 1.8 / 1.0 per match. They took 7 points from 3 home matches in that run. They kept 1 clean sheet.

Lille have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 (LWLDL), scoring 5 and conceding 10 — 1.0 / 2.0 per match. They took 0 points from 2 away matches in that run. They kept 1 clean sheet.

Head to head

In the last 5 meetings Monaco won 1, Lille won 3 and 1 ended level. Goals: Monaco 2, Lille 4.

The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Monaco 0-1 Lille.

Key players and absentees

For Monaco, the standout performers in recent matches: Paris Josua Brunner (3 goals in 3 matches, 1 assist, 9 shots on target, average rating 7.8); E. Diop (1 goal in 5 matches, 2 assists, 2 shots on target, average rating 7.3).

For Lille, the standout performers in recent matches: S. Diaoune (2 goals in 3 matches, 3 shots on target, average rating 7.4); Alexsandro Ribeiro (0 goals in 4 matches, 1 assist, average rating 7.2).

Model estimate

The statistical model estimate makes Monaco favourites at 47% (80% interval 44%–53%); draw 26%, Lille 28%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Expected goals in the model: Monaco 1.59, Lille 1.17. Chance of 3+ goals: 52%; both teams to score: 55%. The estimate was locked on 23 October 2026 at 06:01 UTC; the last locked estimate before kick-off is scored in our public track record.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.