Molde vs Fredrikstad

Sunday 25 October 2026, 18:15 UTC: Molde host Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien matchday 12.

Match context

The venue is Aker Stadion, Molde, capacity 11,800.

Form

Molde have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 (WWLDW), scoring 16 and conceding 6 — 3.2 / 1.2 per match. They took 6 points from 3 home matches in that run. They kept 1 clean sheet.

Fredrikstad have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 (LDDDL), scoring 6 and conceding 8 — 1.2 / 1.6 per match. They took 1 point from 2 away matches in that run.

Head to head

In the last 4 meetings Molde won 1, Fredrikstad won 2 and 1 ended level. Goals: Molde 9, Fredrikstad 7.

The most recent meeting, on 13 September 2025, finished Molde 1-2 Fredrikstad.

Key players and absentees

For Molde, the standout performers in recent matches: E. Breivik (2 goals in 5 matches, 3 assists, 3 shots on target, average rating 7.7); S. Kilen (4 goals in 5 matches, 1 assist, 7 shots on target, average rating 7.3).

For Fredrikstad, the standout performers in recent matches: S. Leach Holm (0 goals in 5 matches, 2 assists, 1 shot on target, average rating 7.3); G. Wesseh (1 goal in 3 matches, 1 assist, 2 shots on target, average rating 7.0).

Model estimate

The statistical model estimate: Molde win 57% (80% interval 54%–63%), draw 23%, Fredrikstad win 20%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Expected goals in the model: Molde 1.90, Fredrikstad 1.03. Chance of 3+ goals: 56%; both teams to score: 55%. The estimate was locked on 23 October 2026 at 06:02 UTC; the last locked estimate before kick-off is scored in our public track record.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.