Modena 2-1 Bari
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: A. Palumbo 7.9 · F. Gerli 7.5 · M. Caldara 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections13:1723 August 2024: the Serie B matchday 2 match ended Modena 2-1 Bari.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Bari scored first, in the 17th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 17' A. Novakovich → 0-1; 45+3' A. Palumbo (penalty) → 1-1; 62' Pedro Mendes, assisted by A. Palumbo → 2-1.
VAR intervened 2 times; yellow cards: Modena 4, Bari 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 16-14 (5-5 on target); possession 42%-58%; corners 4-5; pass accuracy 76%-86%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
A. Palumbo was Modena's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 74 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes.
A. Oliveri was Bari's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 79 minutes: 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 6 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Modena vs Bari (Serie B matchday 2, 23 August 2024) finished 2-1. Goals: A. Novakovich 17', A. Palumbo 45+3' (pen), Pedro Mendes 62'. Match stats: possession Modena 42%, Bari 58%; shots on target 5-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.