Millwall 2-1 QPR
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Tanganga 7.5 · A. Connolly 7.5 · J. Cooper 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections22:471 February 2025: the Championship matchday 30 match ended Millwall 2-1 QPR.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-1 at half-time. Millwall scored first, in the 1st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 1' A. Connolly, assisted by T. Crama → 1-0; 3' A. Lloyd, assisted by K. Morgan → 1-1; 25' L. Cundle → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Millwall 1, QPR 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Millwall 0.61, QPR 0.79; shots 7-13 (4-5 on target); possession 43%-57%; corners 2-11; pass accuracy 75%-83%.
Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
A. Connolly was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 89 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 5 of 11 duels.
A. Lloyd was QPR's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 83 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, 1 tackle, won 4 of 19 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Millwall beat QPR 2-1 in the Championship matchday 30 on 1 February 2025. Goals: A. Connolly 1', A. Lloyd 3', L. Cundle 25'. Match stats: possession Millwall 43%, QPR 57%; shots on target 4-5; expected goals (xG) 0.61-0.79.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.