Millwall 3-1 Preston
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: G. Honeyman 8.2 · M. Langstaff 8.2 · J. Bowler 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections12:0528 September 2024: the Championship matchday 7 match ended Millwall 3-1 Preston.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Millwall scored first, in the 24th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 24' G. Honeyman, assisted by M. Langstaff → 1-0; 38' R. Esse, assisted by D. Watmore → 2-0; 47' M. Langstaff, assisted by G. Honeyman → 3-0; 87' J. Storey → 3-1.
Aidomo Emakhu (Millwall) was sent off in the 89th minute; yellow cards: Millwall 3, Preston 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Millwall 2.58, Preston 0.94; shots 14-11 (6-4 on target); possession 36%-64%; corners 3-8; pass accuracy 74%-79%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.64.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
G. Honeyman was Millwall's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 89 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 5 of 14 duels.
J. Bowler was Preston's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 68 minutes: 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 4 tackles, won 6 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
28 September 2024: the Championship matchday 7 match ended Millwall 3-1 Preston. Goals: G. Honeyman 24', R. Esse 38', M. Langstaff 47', J. Storey 87'. Match stats: possession Millwall 36%, Preston 64%; shots on target 6-4; expected goals (xG) 2.58-0.94.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.