Millwall 3-1 Luton
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Smith 9.0 · C. Mahoney 8.5 · J. Wallace 8.4
Match analysis
5 sections03:20Millwall beat Luton 3-1 in the Championship matchday 26 on 1 January 2020.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Millwall came from behind in the second half to win. Luton scored first, in the 41st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 41' S. Bradley, assisted by A. Sheehan → 0-1; 69' T. Bradshaw, assisted by M. Smith → 1-1; 78' C. Mahoney, assisted by J. Wallace → 2-1; 81' M. Smith, assisted by C. Mahoney → 3-1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 20-6 (7-4 on target); possession 62%-38%; corners 5-1; pass accuracy 77%-65%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
M. Smith was Millwall's highest-rated player at 9.0 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 3 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 12 of 25 duels.
A. Sheehan was Luton's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 82 minutes: 1 assist, 1 key pass, 7 tackles, won 8 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Millwall vs Luton (Championship matchday 26, 1 January 2020) finished 3-1. Goals: S. Bradley 41', T. Bradshaw 69', C. Mahoney 78', M. Smith 81'. Match stats: possession Millwall 62%, Luton 38%; shots on target 7-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.