Millwall 3-4 Ipswich
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: G. Ward 8.4 · J. Spence 8.3 · M. Waghorn 7.8
Match analysis
5 sections12:36Millwall lost to Ipswich 3-4 in the Championship matchday 3 on 15 August 2017.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-3 at half-time. Millwall scored first, in the 1st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 1' J. Wallace → 1-0; 4' J. Garner, assisted by D. Iorfa → 1-1; 34' M. Waghorn, assisted by G. Ward → 1-2; 36' A. O'Brien → 2-2; 45+3' M. Waghorn, assisted by D. McGoldrick → 2-3; 80' T. Elliott → 3-3; 88' J. Spence, assisted by G. Ward → 3-4.
Yellow cards: Millwall 2, Ipswich 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 23-8 (6-4 on target); possession 54%-46%; corners 8-3; pass accuracy 66%-63%.
Goals by half: 2-3 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
J. Wallace was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 4 of 4 duels.
G. Ward was Ipswich's highest-rated player at 8.4 in 90 minutes: 2 assists, 3 key passes, won 11 of 17 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
15 August 2017: the Championship matchday 3 match ended Millwall 3-4 Ipswich. Goals: J. Wallace 1', J. Garner 4', M. Waghorn 34', A. O'Brien 36', M. Waghorn 45+3', T. Elliott 80', J. Spence 88'. Match stats: possession Millwall 54%, Ipswich 46%; shots on target 6-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.