Millwall 0-1 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Romeo 7.7 · C. Davies 7.7 · S. Hutchinson 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections04:495 December 2020: the Championship matchday 16 match ended Millwall 0-1 Derby.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Derby scored first, in the 69th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 69' J. Knight → 0-1.
Yellow cards: Millwall 0, Derby 5.
Statistical comparison
Shots 12-11 (3-3 on target); possession 45%-55%; corners 4-3; pass accuracy 73%-75%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Romeo was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, 6 tackles, won 13 of 15 duels.
C. Davies was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 tackle, won 16 of 23 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Millwall vs Derby (Championship matchday 16, 5 December 2020) finished 0-1. Goals: J. Knight 69'. Match stats: possession Millwall 45%, Derby 55%; shots on target 3-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.