Millwall 3-3 Derby
Championship · Matchweek 45Model accuracy
Match stats
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5 sections23:0625 April 2015: the Championship matchday 45 match ended Millwall 3-3 Derby.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-1 at half-time. Derby levelled after the break. Millwall scored first, in the 26th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 26' L. Gregory → 1-0; 36' L. Gregory (penalty) → 2-0; 42' T. Ince → 2-1; 50' L. Gregory (penalty) → 3-1; 70' C. Martin (penalty) → 3-2; 85' J. Hendrick, assisted by T. Ince → 3-3.
Yellow cards: Millwall 2, Derby 2.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: L. Gregory, T. Ince, C. Martin, J. Hendrick.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Millwall drew with Derby 3-3 in the Championship matchday 45 on 25 April 2015. Goals: L. Gregory 26', L. Gregory 36' (pen), T. Ince 42', L. Gregory 50' (pen), C. Martin 70' (pen), J. Hendrick 85'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.