Millwall 4-4 (pen. 4-5) Brighton
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. March 7.9 · J. Locadia 7.7 · A. Pearce 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections06:34Millwall drew with Brighton 4-4 after extra time (4-5 on penalties) in the FA Cup quarter-final on 17 March 2019.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. Millwall scored first, in the 70th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 70' A. Pearce, assisted by S. Williams → 1-0; 79' A. O'Brien, assisted by J. Wallace → 2-0; 88' J. Locadia → 2-1; 90+5' S. March → 2-2.
Shane Ferguson (Millwall) was sent off in the 119th minute; yellow cards: Millwall 0, Brighton 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 15-21 (7-9 on target); possession 33%-67%; corners 4-6; pass accuracy 59%-81%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 4-4 in the second.
Standout players
A. Pearce was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 120 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 6 of 10 duels.
S. March was Brighton's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 53 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 6 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
17 March 2019: the FA Cup quarter-final match ended Millwall 4-4 (4-5 on penalties) Brighton. Goals: A. Pearce 70', A. O'Brien 79', J. Locadia 88', S. March 90+5'. Match stats: possession Millwall 33%, Brighton 67%; shots on target 7-9.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.