Millwall 3-1 Birmingham
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Wallace 7.9 · T. Deeney 7.6 · J. Cooper 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections01:04Millwall beat Birmingham 3-1 in the Championship matchday 21 on 4 December 2021.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Millwall scored first, in the 10th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 10' M. Wallace, assisted by S. Hutchinson → 1-0; 41' T. Bradshaw, assisted by S. Malone → 2-0; 56' T. Deeney, assisted by S. Hogan → 2-1; 73' G. Evans, assisted by D. McNamara → 3-1.
Yellow cards: Millwall 0, Birmingham 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 19-16 (9-3 on target); possession 52%-48%; corners 11-5; pass accuracy 67%-66%.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Wallace was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 tackles, won 7 of 12 duels.
T. Deeney was Birmingham's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, won 5 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Millwall vs Birmingham (Championship matchday 21, 4 December 2021) finished 3-1. Goals: M. Wallace 10', T. Bradshaw 41', T. Deeney 56', G. Evans 73'. Match stats: possession Millwall 52%, Birmingham 48%; shots on target 9-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology




Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.