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Meshakhte 0-1 Rustavi

Erovnuli Liga · Matchweek 26
Meshakhte
01
Full-timeHT 0-1
Rustavi
Parkadze45'
Referee I. KherkhadzeMon 14 Sept 2026, 15:00

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
0–3 goals
81%
Clearleague base 73%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
Level at half-time
48%
Notableleague base 42%calibrated
retrospective miss
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · MES 27% · X 31% · RUS 42%Predicted score 0-1 · Most likely: 0-1 14% · 1-1 13% · 0-0 13%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

13All ›
Kick-off · 15:00
41'
Shotiko AndghuladzeYellow card
45'
0-1L. ParkadzeGoal
Half-time 0-1
46'
N. ChikovaniOn · S. Andghuladze off
59'
G. GogolashviliOn · I. Sikharulidze off
59'
T. PatsatsiaOn · T. Sikalo off
59'
S. ChkhetianiOn · G. Gegia off
61'
D. UbilavaOn · L. Parkadze off
64'
M. PyrogovOn · G. Kantaria off
70'
V. PatsatsiaOn · Jean off
70'
K. CeijasOn · Y. Nakano off
79'
K. KakashviliOn · A. Gujabidze off
86'
G. JamarauliOn · B. Gabiskiria off
89'
Lasha UgrekhelidzeYellow card
Full time 0-1

Match stats

Meshakhte
Rustavi
5
Shots
10
1
On target
3
%60
Possession
%40
2
Corners
1

Starting XIs

5-4-1 · 4-3-3Line-ups ›
Meshakhte
5-4-1
Coach Vladimer BurduliBench 9
Rustavi
4-3-3
Coach Giorgi TsetsadzeBench 9
Your predictionFull time 0-1
MES
–
RUS
–
Model: 0-1 (14%)
No prediction · Locked 15:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections22:23

14 September 2026: the Erovnuli Liga matchday 26 match ended Meshakhte 0-1 Rustavi.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 0-1 at half-time. Rustavi scored first, in the 45th minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 45' L. Parkadze → 0-1.

Yellow cards: Meshakhte 1, Rustavi 1.

Statistical comparison

Shots 5-10 (1-3 on target); possession 60%-40%; corners 2-1.

Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: L. Parkadze.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Meshakhte 27%, draw 31%, Rustavi 42%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

14 September 2026: the Erovnuli Liga matchday 26 match ended Meshakhte 0-1 Rustavi. Goals: L. Parkadze 45'. Match stats: possession Meshakhte 60%, Rustavi 40%; shots on target 1-3.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

Related matches

Meshakhte · next match
Rustavi · next match