Meshakhte 0-1 Rustavi
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections22:2314 September 2026: the Erovnuli Liga matchday 26 match ended Meshakhte 0-1 Rustavi.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Rustavi scored first, in the 45th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 45' L. Parkadze → 0-1.
Yellow cards: Meshakhte 1, Rustavi 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 5-10 (1-3 on target); possession 60%-40%; corners 2-1.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: L. Parkadze.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Meshakhte 27%, draw 31%, Rustavi 42%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
14 September 2026: the Erovnuli Liga matchday 26 match ended Meshakhte 0-1 Rustavi. Goals: L. Parkadze 45'. Match stats: possession Meshakhte 60%, Rustavi 40%; shots on target 1-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.