Marseille 4-1 Lorient
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Guendouzi 9.7 · D. Payet 8.9 · Pau López 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections11:06Marseille beat Lorient 4-1 in the Ligue 1 matchday 10 on 17 October 2021.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Lorient scored first, in the 13th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 13' A. Laurienté (penalty) → 0-1; 27' B. Kamara, assisted by M. Guendouzi → 1-1; 56' M. Guendouzi, assisted by D. Payet → 2-1; 85' A. Milik, assisted by D. Payet → 3-1; 90+2' H. Mendes (own goal) → 3-2.
Yellow cards: Marseille 0, Lorient 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 16-15 (5-7 on target); possession 64%-36%; corners 6-4; pass accuracy 89%-79%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
M. Guendouzi was Marseille's highest-rated player at 9.7 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 8 of 10 duels.
S. Diarra was Lorient's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 69 minutes: 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, 1 tackle, won 3 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
17 October 2021: the Ligue 1 matchday 10 match ended Marseille 4-1 Lorient. Goals: A. Laurienté 13' (pen), B. Kamara 27', M. Guendouzi 56', A. Milik 85', H. Mendes 90+2' (o.g.). Match stats: possession Marseille 64%, Lorient 36%; shots on target 5-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.