Maritimo 3-2 Nacional
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Edgar Costa 7.9 · L. Barrera 7.6 · Vítor Gonçalves 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections17:0331 March 2019: the Primeira Liga matchday 27 match ended Maritimo 3-2 Nacional.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-1 at half-time. Maritimo scored first, in the 5th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 5' Edgar Costa → 1-0; 11' João Camacho (penalty) → 1-1; 16' Joel (penalty) → 2-1; 35' Getterson, assisted by Nanu → 3-1; 87' B. Rochez (penalty) → 3-2.
Yellow cards: Maritimo 2, Nacional 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 11-20 (5-6 on target); possession 35%-65%; corners 6-8; pass accuracy 60%-78%.
Goals by half: 3-1 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Edgar Costa was Maritimo's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 70 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 tackle, won 10 of 16 duels.
Vítor Gonçalves was Nacional's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 5 key passes, 1 tackle, won 5 of 10 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Maritimo vs Nacional (Primeira Liga matchday 27, 31 March 2019) finished 3-2. Goals: Edgar Costa 5', João Camacho 11' (pen), Joel 16' (pen), Getterson 35', B. Rochez 87' (pen). Match stats: possession Maritimo 35%, Nacional 65%; shots on target 5-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.