Maritimo 2-1 (pen. 2-3) Estrela
Primeira Liga · Relegation RoundModel accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Mosquera 8.2 · Bruno Xadas 8.0 · Cláudio Winck 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections09:2611 June 2023: the Primeira Liga match ended after extra time Maritimo 2-1 Estrela (2-3 on penalties).
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Maritimo scored first, in the 18th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 18' Bruno Xadas, assisted by Geny Catamo → 1-0; 26' Miguel Lopes → 1-1; 90+6' C. Ramírez, assisted by Cláudio Winck → 2-1; 120+1' Cláudio Winck (penalty) → 3-1; 120+2' Jean Felipe (penalty) → 3-2; 120+4' Mansur (penalty) → 3-3; 120+5' André Vidigal (penalty) → 4-3; 120+8' Vitó (penalty) → 4-4.
Diogo Mendes missed a penalty in the 120th minute; Aloísio Genézio missed a penalty in the 120th minute; C. Ramírez missed a penalty in the 120th minute; Félix Correia missed a penalty in the 120th minute; VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Maritimo 5, Estrela 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 26-11 (9-2 on target); possession 67%-33%; corners 11-4; pass accuracy 83%-61%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
M. Mosquera was Maritimo's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 120 minutes: 5 tackles, won 18 of 23 duels.
Vitó was Estrela's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 120 minutes: 3 key passes, 1 tackle, won 4 of 10 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Maritimo vs Estrela (Primeira Liga, 11 June 2023) finished 2-1 (2-3 on penalties). Goals: Bruno Xadas 18', Miguel Lopes 26', C. Ramírez 90+6', Cláudio Winck 120+1' (pen), Jean Felipe 120+2' (pen), Mansur 120+4' (pen), André Vidigal 120+5' (pen), Vitó 120+8' (pen). Match stats: possession Maritimo 67%, Estrela 33%; shots on target 9-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.