Malmo FF 5-2 Halmstad
Allsvenskan · Matchweek 10Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: E. Botheim 9.3 · O. Faraj 8.2 · A. Skogmar 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections11:4530 May 2026: the Allsvenskan matchday 10 match ended Malmo FF 5-2 Halmstad.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-2 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Malmo FF scored first, in the 4th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 4' A. Skogmar → 1-0; 7' O. Faraj, assisted by R. Kaib → 1-1; 26' O. Faraj, assisted by M. Illary → 1-2; 30' K. Busuladzic → 2-2; 60' E. Botheim, assisted by S. Haksabanovic → 3-2; 62' E. Botheim, assisted by K. Busuladzic → 4-2; 68' E. Botheim → 5-2.
Yellow cards: Malmo FF 1, Halmstad 0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Malmo FF 3.24, Halmstad 1.73; shots 19-14 (10-6 on target); possession 66%-34%; corners 4-5; pass accuracy 89%-78%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.51.
Goals by half: 2-2 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
E. Botheim was Malmo FF's highest-rated player at 9.3 in 87 minutes: 3 goals, 3 shots on target, won 1 of 4 duels.
O. Faraj was Halmstad's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 73 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, won 3 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Malmo FF 70%, draw 19%, Halmstad 11%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Malmo FF vs Halmstad (Allsvenskan matchday 10, 30 May 2026) finished 5-2. Goals: A. Skogmar 4', O. Faraj 7', O. Faraj 26', K. Busuladzic 30', E. Botheim 60', E. Botheim 62', E. Botheim 68'. Match stats: possession Malmo FF 66%, Halmstad 34%; shots on target 10-6; expected goals (xG) 3.24-1.73.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.