Macara 3-0 Emelec
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: L. Morales 8.7 · L. Espinoza 7.6 · P. González 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections16:392 November 2025: the Liga Pro match ended Macara 3-0 Emelec.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Macara scored first, in the 38th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 38' A. Ledesma (penalty) → 1-0; 75' F. Paz (penalty) → 2-0; 90' J. Morales (penalty) → 3-0.
Diogo Bagüí (Emelec) was sent off in the 37th minute; VAR intervened 2 times; yellow cards: Macara 1, Emelec 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 17-5 (5-1 on target); possession 54%-46%; corners 3-5; pass accuracy 85%-80%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
L. Morales was Macara's highest-rated player at 8.7 in 8 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 3 of 3 duels.
P. Ortíz was Emelec's highest-rated player at 6.9 in 90 minutes: 4 saves, won 4 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
2 November 2025: the Liga Pro match ended Macara 3-0 Emelec. Goals: A. Ledesma 38' (pen), F. Paz 75' (pen), J. Morales 90' (pen). Match stats: possession Macara 54%, Emelec 46%; shots on target 5-1.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.