Lyon 1-3 Guingamp
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: C. Kerbrat 8.1 · M. Coco 8.1 · K. Johnsson 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections11:0422 October 2016: the Ligue 1 matchday 10 match ended Lyon 1-3 Guingamp.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Guingamp came from behind in the second half to win. Lyon scored first, in the 37th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 37' A. Lacazette (penalty) → 1-0; 46' Y. Salibur, assisted by J. Briand → 1-1; 52' M. Coco, assisted by J. Briand → 1-2; 77' M. Coco, assisted by K. Johnsson → 1-3.
Yellow cards: Lyon 1, Guingamp 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 18-6 (6-5 on target); possession 67%-33%; corners 9-5; pass accuracy 84%-70%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-3 in the second.
Standout players
M. Gonalons was Lyon's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, won 15 of 19 duels.
M. Coco was Guingamp's highest-rated player at 8.1 in 84 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, won 6 of 14 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Lyon vs Guingamp (Ligue 1 matchday 10, 22 October 2016) finished 1-3. Goals: A. Lacazette 37' (pen), Y. Salibur 46', M. Coco 52', M. Coco 77'. Match stats: possession Lyon 67%, Guingamp 33%; shots on target 6-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.