Luton 0-1 Tottenham
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Maddison 8.3 · M. van de Ven 8.2 · C. Romero 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections00:457 October 2023: the Premier League matchday 8 match ended Luton 0-1 Tottenham.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Tottenham scored first, in the 52nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 52' M. van de Ven, assisted by J. Maddison → 0-1.
Yves Bissouma (Tottenham) was sent off in the 45th minute; yellow cards: Luton 2, Tottenham 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Luton 0.76, Tottenham 1.96; shots 12-15 (2-4 on target); possession 33%-67%; corners 5-6; pass accuracy 67%-86%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.20.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
R. Burke was Luton's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 2 key passes, 4 tackles, won 6 of 8 duels.
J. Maddison was Tottenham's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 76 minutes: 1 assist, 4 key passes, 2 tackles, won 7 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
7 October 2023: the Premier League matchday 8 match ended Luton 0-1 Tottenham. Goals: M. van de Ven 52'. Match stats: possession Luton 33%, Tottenham 67%; shots on target 2-4; expected goals (xG) 0.76-1.96.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.