Luton 1-0 Reading
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. Sluga 8.7 · G. Osho 7.7 · J. Morrell 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections08:30Luton beat Reading 1-0 in the FA Cup on 9 January 2021.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Luton scored first, in the 30th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 30' G. Moncur, assisted by J. Bree → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Luton 1, Reading 0.
Statistical comparison
Shots 8-18 (4-7 on target); possession 46%-54%; corners 4-4; pass accuracy 74%-74%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
S. Sluga was Luton's highest-rated player at 8.7 in 90 minutes: 7 saves.
T. McIntyre was Reading's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 2 tackles, won 6 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Luton vs Reading (FA Cup, 9 January 2021) finished 1-0. Goals: G. Moncur 30'. Match stats: possession Luton 46%, Reading 54%; shots on target 4-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.