Luton 2-2 Grimsby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Clark 7.3 · A. Doughty 7.3 · G. Holohan 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections04:21Luton drew with Grimsby 2-2 in the FA Cup on 28 January 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Luton levelled after the break. Grimsby scored first, in the 43rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 43' G. Holohan, assisted by A. Driscoll-Glennon → 0-1; 49' E. Adebayo (penalty) → 1-1; 66' J. Clark, assisted by A. Doughty → 2-1; 67' H. Clifton, assisted by D. Orsi → 2-2.
Yellow cards: Luton 0, Grimsby 5.
Statistical comparison
Shots 12-9 (5-7 on target); possession 62%-38%; corners 11-1; pass accuracy 74%-55%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
J. Clark was Luton's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 tackle, won 3 of 8 duels.
G. Holohan was Grimsby's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 89 minutes: 1 goal, 4 shots on target, 5 tackles, won 10 of 24 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Luton vs Grimsby (FA Cup, 28 January 2023) finished 2-2. Goals: G. Holohan 43', E. Adebayo 49' (pen), J. Clark 66', H. Clifton 67'. Match stats: possession Luton 62%, Grimsby 38%; shots on target 5-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.