Ludogorets 1-1 Slavia Sofia
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections23:42Ludogorets drew with Slavia Sofia 1-1 in the First League matchday 6 on 22 August 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Slavia Sofia scored first, in the 7th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 7' N. Savic → 0-1; 41' K. Duah → 1-1.
Rwan Cruz (Ludogorets) was sent off in the 20th minute; yellow cards: Ludogorets 3, Slavia Sofia 6.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: N. Savic, K. Duah.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Ludogorets 70%, draw 20%, Slavia Sofia 11%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia (First League matchday 6, 22 August 2026) finished 1-1. Goals: N. Savic 7', K. Duah 41'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.