Ludogorets 1-1 Levski Sofia
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Petkov 7.9 · H. Bonmann 7.7 · Jawad El Jemili 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections04:29Ludogorets drew with Levski Sofia 1-1 in the First League on 3 May 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Levski Sofia levelled after the break. Ludogorets scored first, in the 34th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 34' Erick Marcus → 1-0; 79' Everton Bala → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Ludogorets 1, Levski Sofia 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Ludogorets 0.19, Levski Sofia 1.29; shots 5-17 (2-7 on target); possession 50%-50%; corners 1-12; pass accuracy 88%-90%.
Levski Sofia created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
H. Bonmann was Ludogorets's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 6 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
M. Petkov was Levski Sofia's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 87 minutes: 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, won 12 of 24 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia (First League, 3 May 2025) finished 1-1. Goals: Erick Marcus 34', Everton Bala 79'. Match stats: possession Ludogorets 50%, Levski Sofia 50%; shots on target 2-7; expected goals (xG) 0.19-1.29.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.