Ludogorets 5-1 Levski Sofia
First League · Matchweek 27Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: K. Duah 8.3 · J. Piotrowski 8.2 · Rick 8.2
Match analysis
5 sections19:11Ludogorets beat Levski Sofia 5-1 in the First League matchday 27 on 3 April 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Ludogorets scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' Rwan Cruz → 1-0; 16' M. Petkov → 1-1; 47' G. Terziev → 2-1; 56' J. Piotrowski → 3-1; 63' K. Duah → 4-1; 90+2' Caio Vidal → 5-1.
Yellow cards: Ludogorets 2, Levski Sofia 4.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Ludogorets 2.54, Levski Sofia 0.74; shots 14-12 (7-6 on target); possession 37%-63%; corners 2-7; pass accuracy 78%-85%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.80.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 4-0 in the second.
Standout players
K. Duah was Ludogorets's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, won 4 of 11 duels.
M. Petkov was Levski Sofia's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 76 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, won 8 of 15 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Ludogorets beat Levski Sofia 5-1 in the First League matchday 27 on 3 April 2024. Goals: Rwan Cruz 3', M. Petkov 16', G. Terziev 47', J. Piotrowski 56', K. Duah 63', Caio Vidal 90+2'. Match stats: possession Ludogorets 37%, Levski Sofia 63%; shots on target 7-6; expected goals (xG) 2.54-0.74.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.