Lorient 4-3 Guingamp
Model accuracy
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Standouts: Y. Salibur 8.9 · A. Waris 8.1 · Raphaël Guerreiro 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections03:04Lorient beat Guingamp 4-3 in the Ligue 1 matchday 27 on 20 February 2016.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-2 at half-time. Lorient came from behind in the second half to win. Guingamp scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' Y. Salibur → 0-1; 37' Y. Salibur, assisted by N. Benezet → 0-2; 39' A. Waris, assisted by J. Cabot → 1-2; 48' B. Jeannot → 2-2; 49' A. Waris, assisted by Raphaël Guerreiro → 3-2; 59' J. Briand, assisted by N. Benezet → 3-3; 90+3' Raphaël Guerreiro → 4-3.
Yellow cards: Lorient 4, Guingamp 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 26-14 (9-7 on target); possession 58%-42%; corners 6-5; pass accuracy 82%-76%.
Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 3-1 in the second.
Standout players
A. Waris was Lorient's highest-rated player at 8.1 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, won 3 of 14 duels.
Y. Salibur was Guingamp's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 4 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 8 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Lorient vs Guingamp (Ligue 1 matchday 27, 20 February 2016) finished 4-3. Goals: Y. Salibur 3', Y. Salibur 37', A. Waris 39', B. Jeannot 48', A. Waris 49', J. Briand 59', Raphaël Guerreiro 90+3'. Match stats: possession Lorient 58%, Guingamp 42%; shots on target 9-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.