Lorient 4-0 Caen
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. Soumano 9.2 · J. Ponceau 8.3 · A. Avom 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections18:07Lorient beat Caen 4-0 in the Ligue 2 matchday 32 on 26 April 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Lorient scored first, in the 16th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 16' M. Bamba, assisted by J. Ponceau → 1-0; 23' E. Kroupi, assisted by J. Ponceau → 2-0; 78' S. Soumano → 3-0; 90+3' S. Soumano, assisted by A. Tosin → 4-0.
Yellow cards: Lorient 1, Caen 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 22-9 (6-2 on target); possession 69%-31%; corners 12-1; pass accuracy 88%-80%.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
S. Soumano was Lorient's highest-rated player at 9.2 in 17 minutes: 2 goals, 3 shots on target, 1 key pass.
Y. M'Vila was Caen's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 3 tackles, won 6 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Lorient beat Caen 4-0 in the Ligue 2 matchday 32 on 26 April 2025. Goals: M. Bamba 16', E. Kroupi 23', S. Soumano 78', S. Soumano 90+3'. Match stats: possession Lorient 69%, Caen 31%; shots on target 6-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.