Lokomotiv Sofia 0-1 CSKA Sofia
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Z. Istatkov 8.2 · T. Vion 8.0 · K. Miloshev 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections23:4030 March 2024: the First League matchday 26 match ended Lokomotiv Sofia 0-1 CSKA Sofia.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. CSKA Sofia scored first, in the 17th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 17' J. Lindseth → 0-1.
Yellow cards: Lokomotiv Sofia 3, CSKA Sofia 4.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Lokomotiv Sofia 0.53, CSKA Sofia 1.96; shots 12-14 (2-5 on target); possession 51%-49%; corners 3-9; pass accuracy 76%-74%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.43.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Z. Istatkov was Lokomotiv Sofia's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 6 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
T. Vion was CSKA Sofia's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 90 minutes: 3 key passes, won 11 of 18 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia (First League matchday 26, 30 March 2024) finished 0-1. Goals: J. Lindseth 17'. Match stats: possession Lokomotiv Sofia 51%, CSKA Sofia 49%; shots on target 2-5; expected goals (xG) 0.53-1.96.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.