Levski Sofia 1-0 Ludogorets
Model accuracy
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections16:0526 May 2024: the First League match ended Levski Sofia 1-0 Ludogorets.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Levski Sofia scored first, in the 48th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 48' Fábio Lima → 1-0.
Asen Chandarov (Levski Sofia) was sent off in the 85th minute; yellow cards: Levski Sofia 1, Ludogorets 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Levski Sofia 2.18, Ludogorets 0.40; shots 21-3 (6-2 on target); possession 77%-23%; corners 9-1; pass accuracy 89%-71%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.78.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: Fábio Lima.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Levski Sofia beat Ludogorets 1-0 in the First League on 26 May 2024. Goals: Fábio Lima 48'. Match stats: possession Levski Sofia 77%, Ludogorets 23%; shots on target 6-2; expected goals (xG) 2.18-0.40.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.