Levski Sofia 2-1 Dunav Ruse
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections09:10Levski Sofia beat Dunav Ruse 2-1 in the First League matchday 1 on 17 July 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Levski Sofia scored first, in the 22nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 22' K. Dimitrov, assisted by D. Kusso → 1-0; 70' A. Bouras, assisted by Everton Bala → 2-0; 84' D. Minchev, assisted by R. Apostolov → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Levski Sofia 1, Dunav Ruse 0.
Statistical comparison
Shots 25-9 (12-3 on target); possession 69%-31%; corners 9-0.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: K. Dimitrov, A. Bouras, D. Minchev.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Levski Sofia 64%, draw 23%, Dunav Ruse 14%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
17 July 2026: the First League matchday 1 match ended Levski Sofia 2-1 Dunav Ruse. Goals: K. Dimitrov 22', A. Bouras 70', D. Minchev 84'. Match stats: possession Levski Sofia 69%, Dunav Ruse 31%; shots on target 12-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.