Levski Sofia 3-1 Beroe
Model accuracy
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Standouts: R. Kirilov 8.6 · Arthur 8.5 · M. Petkov 8.3
Match analysis
5 sections03:174 October 2025: the First League matchday 11 match ended Levski Sofia 3-1 Beroe.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Levski Sofia scored first, in the 12th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 12' M. Sangare, assisted by M. Soula → 1-0; 73' A. Salido Tajero, assisted by Y. Valbuena → 1-1; 81' M. Petkov, assisted by R. Kirilov → 2-1; 90' G. Trdin, assisted by M. Petkov → 3-1.
Tijan Sonha (Beroe) was sent off in the 47th minute; yellow cards: Levski Sofia 1, Beroe 0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Levski Sofia 4.09, Beroe 0.64; shots 31-6 (13-4 on target); possession 72%-28%; corners 7-1; pass accuracy 90%-74%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 3.45.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
R. Kirilov was Levski Sofia's highest-rated player at 8.6 in 85 minutes: 1 assist, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 14 of 17 duels.
Arthur was Beroe's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, 10 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Levski Sofia vs Beroe (First League matchday 11, 4 October 2025) finished 3-1. Goals: M. Sangare 12', A. Salido Tajero 73', M. Petkov 81', G. Trdin 90'. Match stats: possession Levski Sofia 72%, Beroe 28%; shots on target 13-4; expected goals (xG) 4.09-0.64.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.