Lens 1-3 Nice
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: F. Sotoca 8.2 · M. Cho 8.2 · T. Moffi 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections02:07Lens lost to Nice 1-3 in the Ligue 1 matchday 26 on 16 March 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Nice scored first, in the 11th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 11' T. Moffi, assisted by M. Cho → 0-1; 53' K. Thuram, assisted by M. Cho → 0-2; 67' T. Moffi (penalty) → 0-3; 76' E. Wahi, assisted by W. Saïd → 1-3.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Lens 4, Nice 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Lens 1.22, Nice 2.21; shots 20-7 (4-3 on target); possession 61%-39%; corners 11-3; pass accuracy 87%-75%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.99.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
F. Sotoca was Lens's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 3 tackles, won 6 of 10 duels.
M. Cho was Nice's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 61 minutes: 2 assists, 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 4 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Lens lost to Nice 1-3 in the Ligue 1 matchday 26 on 16 March 2024. Goals: T. Moffi 11', K. Thuram 53', T. Moffi 67' (pen), E. Wahi 76'. Match stats: possession Lens 61%, Nice 39%; shots on target 4-3; expected goals (xG) 1.22-2.21.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.