Leganes 1-0 Eldense
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: Sule 7.6 · Marvel 7.5 · Miguel Atienza 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections03:2829 August 2026: the Segunda División matchday 3 match ended Leganes 1-0 Eldense.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Leganes scored first, in the 90th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 90' M. Atienza, assisted by Sule → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Leganes 1, Eldense 0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Leganes 1.63, Eldense 1.01; shots 11-16 (6-4 on target); possession 52%-48%; corners 0-8; pass accuracy 85%-81%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.62.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Sule was Leganes's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 8 minutes: 1 assist, 1 key pass, won 2 of 3 duels.
Ramón Vila was Eldense's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 5 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Leganes 55%, draw 24%, Eldense 21%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Leganes beat Eldense 1-0 in the Segunda División matchday 3 on 29 August 2026. Goals: M. Atienza 90'. Match stats: possession Leganes 52%, Eldense 48%; shots on target 6-4; expected goals (xG) 1.63-1.01.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.