Leeds 3-2 Millwall
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: P. Bamford 8.8 · Pablo Hernández 8.3 · J. Wallace 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections13:56Leeds beat Millwall 3-2 in the Championship matchday 29 on 28 January 2020.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Leeds came from behind in the second half to win. Millwall scored first, in the 4th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 4' S. Hutchinson, assisted by J. Wallace → 0-1; 23' J. Wallace (penalty) → 0-2; 48' P. Bamford → 1-2; 62' Pablo Hernández → 2-2; 66' P. Bamford, assisted by L. Ayling → 3-2.
Yellow cards: Leeds 2, Millwall 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 28-11 (11-5 on target); possession 69%-31%; corners 7-3; pass accuracy 84%-61%.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
P. Bamford was Leeds's highest-rated player at 8.8 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 3 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 3 of 10 duels.
J. Wallace was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, won 7 of 17 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Leeds beat Millwall 3-2 in the Championship matchday 29 on 28 January 2020. Goals: S. Hutchinson 4', J. Wallace 23' (pen), P. Bamford 48', Pablo Hernández 62', P. Bamford 66'. Match stats: possession Leeds 69%, Millwall 31%; shots on target 11-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.