Lecce 2-2 Parma
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: W. Falcone 8.5 · Adrián Bernabé 8.0 · D. Man 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections05:09Lecce drew with Parma 2-2 in the Serie A matchday 5 on 21 September 2024.
Read more ›Close
Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Parma levelled after the break. Lecce scored first, in the 32nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 32' P. Dorgu, assisted by Y. Ramadani → 1-0; 59' N. Krstović → 2-0; 90+3' P. Almqvist, assisted by A. Haj Mohamed → 2-1; 90+5' A. Hainaut, assisted by A. Haj Mohamed → 2-2.
Frédéric Guilbert (Lecce) was sent off in the 47th minute; Matteo Cancellieri (Parma) was sent off in the 58th minute; yellow cards: Lecce 4, Parma 0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Lecce 1.51, Parma 2.11; shots 14-25 (3-10 on target); possession 38%-62%; corners 2-12; pass accuracy 80%-86%.
Parma created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
W. Falcone was Lecce's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 90 minutes: 8 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
A. Hainaut was Parma's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 25 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 2 of 2 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Lecce drew with Parma 2-2 in the Serie A matchday 5 on 21 September 2024. Goals: P. Dorgu 32', N. Krstović 59', P. Almqvist 90+3', A. Hainaut 90+5'. Match stats: possession Lecce 38%, Parma 62%; shots on target 3-10; expected goals (xG) 1.51-2.11.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.