Lecce 2-1 Monza
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Tete Morente 7.6 · P. Dorgu 7.3 · M. Berisha 7.2
Match analysis
5 sections18:44Lecce beat Monza 2-1 in the Serie A matchday 16 on 15 December 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-1 at half-time. Lecce scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' Tete Morente, assisted by M. Berisha → 1-0; 37' P. Dorgu (own goal) → 2-0; 44' N. Krstović, assisted by S. Pierotti → 3-0.
Nikola Krstović missed a penalty in the 14th minute; VAR intervened 2 times; yellow cards: Lecce 1, Monza 5.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Lecce 1.46, Monza 0.61; shots 11-9 (4-0 on target); possession 45%-55%; corners 2-7; pass accuracy 77%-81%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.85.
Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Tete Morente was Lecce's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 tackles, won 9 of 15 duels.
G. Caprari was Monza's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 67 minutes: 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 3 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
15 December 2024: the Serie A matchday 16 match ended Lecce 2-1 Monza. Goals: Tete Morente 3', P. Dorgu 37' (o.g.), N. Krstović 44'. Match stats: possession Lecce 45%, Monza 55%; shots on target 4-0; expected goals (xG) 1.46-0.61.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.