Juventude 2-0 Ceara
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: Gabriel Pinheiro 8.2 · Marcos Paulo 7.9 · Aderlan 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections12:58Juventude beat Ceara 2-0 in the Serie B matchday 15 on 28 June 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Juventude scored first, in the 26th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 26' Alisson Safira, assisted by Marcos Paulo → 1-0; 34' Gabriel Pinheiro, assisted by Rai Silva → 2-0.
Yellow cards: Juventude 0, Ceara 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Juventude 0.86, Ceara 1.09; shots 10-10 (5-2 on target); possession 51%-49%; corners 6-4; pass accuracy 44%-40%.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Gabriel Pinheiro was Juventude's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 77 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 tackle, won 7 of 8 duels.
Kauã was Ceara's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 23 minutes: 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 5 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Juventude 41%, draw 33%, Ceara 26%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Juventude vs Ceara (Serie B matchday 15, 28 June 2026) finished 2-0. Goals: Alisson Safira 26', Gabriel Pinheiro 34'. Match stats: possession Juventude 51%, Ceara 49%; shots on target 5-2; expected goals (xG) 0.86-1.09.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.