Juventud 2-0 Progreso
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections06:44Juventud beat Progreso 2-0 in the Primera División on 16 May 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Juventud scored first, in the 16th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 16' A. Cruz → 1-0; 33' G. Pereiro → 2-0.
Yellow cards: Juventud 2, Progreso 4.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: A. Cruz, G. Pereiro.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Juventud 53%, draw 24%, Progreso 23%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
16 May 2026: the Primera División match ended Juventud 2-0 Progreso. Goals: A. Cruz 16', G. Pereiro 33'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.