Junior 3-0 Chico
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: L. Muriel 8.9 · C. Barrios 8.2 · Y. Chará 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections14:46Junior beat Chico 3-0 in the Primera A on 8 February 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Junior scored first, in the 45th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 45' L. Muriel (penalty) → 1-0; 49' C. Barrios, assisted by L. Muriel → 2-0; 78' J. Canchimbo, assisted by D. Villarreal → 3-0.
J. A. Campo Chara (Chico) was sent off in the 45th minute; yellow cards: Junior 1, Chico 0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Junior 2.24, Chico 0.16; shots 21-5 (8-1 on target); possession 61%-39%; corners 7-1; pass accuracy 81%-75%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 2.08.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
L. Muriel was Junior's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 76 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 3 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 2 of 6 duels.
A. Banguero was Chico's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 65 minutes: won 1 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Junior 75%, draw 17%, Chico 8%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Junior vs Chico (Primera A, 8 February 2026) finished 3-0. Goals: L. Muriel 45' (pen), C. Barrios 49', J. Canchimbo 78'. Match stats: possession Junior 61%, Chico 39%; shots on target 8-1; expected goals (xG) 2.24-0.16.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.