Jong Ajax 1-2 Roda
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Nicolas 7.6 · O. Aertssen 7.3 · J. Hato 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections12:41Jong Ajax lost to Roda 1-2 in the Eerste Divisie matchday 21 on 23 January 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-2 at half-time. Jong Ajax scored first, in the 24th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 24' D. Warmerdam, assisted by K. Hlynsson → 1-0; 41' D. Vente, assisted by L. Daneels → 1-1; 45+3' D. Warmerdam (own goal) → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Jong Ajax 1, Roda 0.
Statistical comparison
Shots 19-15 (7-6 on target); possession 66%-34%; corners 3-5; pass accuracy 82%-69%.
Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
O. Aertssen was Jong Ajax's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 2 of 4 duels.
M. Nicolas was Roda's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 6 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Jong Ajax lost to Roda 1-2 in the Eerste Divisie matchday 21 on 23 January 2023. Goals: D. Warmerdam 24', D. Vente 41', D. Warmerdam 45+3' (o.g.). Match stats: possession Jong Ajax 66%, Roda 34%; shots on target 7-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.