Ipswich 3-1 Millwall
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: C. Chaplin 8.2 · M. Luongo 8.0 · L. Davis 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections00:4029 November 2023: the Championship matchday 18 match ended Ipswich 3-1 Millwall.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-0 at half-time. Ipswich scored first, in the 5th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 5' C. Chaplin, assisted by G. Hirst → 1-0; 12' M. Luongo, assisted by C. Chaplin → 2-0; 39' N. Broadhead, assisted by L. Davis → 3-0; 78' K. Nisbet, assisted by R. Longman → 3-1.
Yellow cards: Ipswich 2, Millwall 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Ipswich 1.21, Millwall 0.43; shots 19-5 (7-3 on target); possession 60%-40%; corners 4-2; pass accuracy 86%-76%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.78.
Goals by half: 3-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
C. Chaplin was Ipswich's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 69 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, 2 tackles, won 5 of 10 duels.
K. Nisbet was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 29 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 2 of 4 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
29 November 2023: the Championship matchday 18 match ended Ipswich 3-1 Millwall. Goals: C. Chaplin 5', M. Luongo 12', N. Broadhead 39', K. Nisbet 78'. Match stats: possession Ipswich 60%, Millwall 40%; shots on target 7-3; expected goals (xG) 1.21-0.43.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.