Ipswich 1-1 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: A. Judge 8.1 · T. Lawrence 8.1 · M. Pennington 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections02:2813 February 2019: the Championship matchday 32 match ended Ipswich 1-1 Derby.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Ipswich levelled after the break. Derby scored first, in the 2nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 2' T. Lawrence, assisted by J. Bogle → 0-1; 55' J. Nolan, assisted by C. Quaner → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Ipswich 3, Derby 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 15-15 (3-5 on target); possession 45%-55%; corners 7-4; pass accuracy 67%-72%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
A. Judge was Ipswich's highest-rated player at 8.1 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 7 key passes, won 7 of 14 duels.
T. Lawrence was Derby's highest-rated player at 8.1 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 6 key passes, won 5 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Ipswich drew with Derby 1-1 in the Championship matchday 32 on 13 February 2019. Goals: T. Lawrence 2', J. Nolan 55'. Match stats: possession Ipswich 45%, Derby 55%; shots on target 3-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.