Ipswich 0-3 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: T. Ince 8.5 · C. Bryson 8.0 · J. Butterfield 7.4
Match analysis
5 sections22:22Ipswich lost to Derby 0-3 in the Championship matchday 29 on 31 January 2017.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-3 at half-time. Derby scored first, in the 9th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 9' C. Bryson, assisted by T. Ince → 0-1; 12' T. Ince, assisted by C. Baird → 0-2; 45+4' D. Bent, assisted by J. Butterfield → 0-3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 14-14 (3-8 on target); possession 60%-40%; corners 7-5; pass accuracy 79%-67%.
Goals by half: 0-3 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
K. Bru was Ipswich's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, won 6 of 13 duels.
T. Ince was Derby's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 3 shots on target, 4 key passes, won 6 of 12 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Ipswich vs Derby (Championship matchday 29, 31 January 2017) finished 0-3. Goals: C. Bryson 9', T. Ince 12', D. Bent 45+4'. Match stats: possession Ipswich 60%, Derby 40%; shots on target 3-8.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.