Ipswich 1-2 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. Winnall 9.3 · T. Lawrence 7.8 · C. Davies 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections05:19Ipswich lost to Derby 1-2 in the Championship matchday 25 on 30 December 2017.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Derby scored first, in the 13th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 13' S. Winnall, assisted by T. Lawrence → 0-1; 48' S. Winnall, assisted by T. Lawrence → 0-2; 65' J. Garner, assisted by M. Waghorn → 1-2.
Yellow cards: Ipswich 1, Derby 0.
Statistical comparison
Shots 14-17 (3-6 on target); possession 53%-47%; corners 9-5; pass accuracy 71%-72%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
J. Garner was Ipswich's highest-rated player at 7.1 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 6 of 28 duels.
S. Winnall was Derby's highest-rated player at 9.3 in 89 minutes: 2 goals, 3 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 17 of 28 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Ipswich lost to Derby 1-2 in the Championship matchday 25 on 30 December 2017. Goals: S. Winnall 13', S. Winnall 48', J. Garner 65'. Match stats: possession Ipswich 53%, Derby 47%; shots on target 3-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.