Ipswich 3-2 Cardiff
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: F. Ladapo 8.9 · A. Ramsey 8.0 · L. Davis 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections22:082 September 2023: the Championship matchday 5 match ended Ipswich 3-2 Cardiff.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Ipswich came from behind in the second half to win. Cardiff scored first, in the 30th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 30' A. Ramsey, assisted by K. Ahearne-Grant → 0-1; 52' J. Ralls → 0-2; 59' N. Broadhead, assisted by Sam Morsy → 1-2; 68' F. Ladapo → 2-2; 78' F. Ladapo → 3-2.
Yellow cards: Ipswich 4, Cardiff 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Ipswich 2.36, Cardiff 1.67; shots 19-13 (7-5 on target); possession 55%-45%; corners 6-3; pass accuracy 84%-79%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.69.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 3-1 in the second.
Standout players
F. Ladapo was Ipswich's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 54 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 4 of 5 duels.
A. Ramsey was Cardiff's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 4 key passes, 5 tackles, won 5 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Ipswich beat Cardiff 3-2 in the Championship matchday 5 on 2 September 2023. Goals: A. Ramsey 30', J. Ralls 52', N. Broadhead 59', F. Ladapo 68', F. Ladapo 78'. Match stats: possession Ipswich 55%, Cardiff 45%; shots on target 7-5; expected goals (xG) 2.36-1.67.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.